| 2009 will not be a catastrophic year for the Vietnamese economy as it has seen satisfactory signs during the first few months of this year thanks to the government introducing effective measures, said the World Bank’s (WB) chief economist in Vietnam, Martin Rama.
Rama said that Vietnam recorded a GDP growth of 3.1 percent in the first quarter and the WB believes that the country’s growth will be higher during the second and third.
According to a WB report on Vietnam’s economic situation, to be presented at the Informal Mid-term Consultative Group Meeting (CG) slated for June 8-9 in the Central Highlands province of Dak Lak , 2009 will be a gloomy year for the global economy, especially several developed countries in Asia.
However, newly emerging Asian economies still stand firm, with Vietnam recording a first quarter GDP growth of 3.1 percent compared with Singapore at minus 10.1 percent or Japan ’s minus 15.2 percent, the report stated.
The WB said that the fall in the price of raw materials has led to the Vietnamese construction sector recovering strongly with a growth of 6.92 percent in the first three months and a two-digit growth expected for the whole year.
This is a good omen for the Vietnamese economy, said Rama, adding that other economic sectors have seen relatively satisfactory developments. The power sector expects to enjoy a growth of between 10-12 percent in the second quarter and 16 percent for the whole year.
The increasing demand for power shows that the economy will develop much more vigorously in the future, said Rama.
In addition, the domestic stock market has recently taken off with the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange’s (HoSE) VN-index increasing by 35 percent since the beginning of the year. The HoSE is now amongst the markets showing the most rapid growth in the world.
Rama also praised the flexibility and dynamics of the Vietnamese economy. Compared with other economies in the world, Vietnam has several advantages such as a young population and an abundant and increasingly skilled labour force, with 1 million people joining it every year, he said, adding that this will help to increase the country’s GDP growth.
He also praised the Vietnamese government’s response to the world economic crisis during the first half of 2009, coming up with various solutions such as tax exemptions and extended deadlines, interest rate subsidies and an increase in social spending.
However, the WB economist recommended that the government consider carefully an US$8 billion stimulus package recently submitted to the National Assembly. The package is feasible but much too large, as it accounts for 8.3 percent of the country’s total GDP./.
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| VNA/VOVNews |




June 12th, 2009 at 8:43 pm
Original post by Dmitri Gromov